What is Truss being told

Environment Secretary Elizabeth Truss agrees that climate change is happening saying evidence on the issue like the extreme weather events that battered the Westcountry last canada goose outlet in canada year is very strong.

buy canada goose jacket Ms Truss, whose department is responsible for ensuring the country adapts to the impacts of climate change, canada goose outlet vip said she agreed with Prime Minister David Cameron in drawing a link between global warming and extreme weather events such as the winter storms that swamped the Somerset canada goose outlet store toronto Levels, severed the main rail link at Dawlish and caused the region millions of pounds of damage in January and February 2014, from which many people are still recovering. buy canada goose jacket

Canada Goose Parka In her interview with House magazine, Ms Truss said she was briefed by both the Environment Department (Defra) chief scientist Prof Ian Boyd and the Government chief scientist Sir Mark Walport shortly after taking the role. Canada Goose Parka

Canada Goose online She told the magazine: fully agree that climate change is happening. I think the evidence is very strong, but this department role is making sure we adapt to climate change and that taken into account in canada goose outlet online store all our modelling. Canada Goose online

canada goose clearance This is worrying. Regarding “climate change”, by canada goose outlet hong kong which we must assume she means “manmade climate change”, to demonstrate that this is happening it is necessary to show that canada goose factory outlet vancouver the changes seen are out of the ordinary. canada goose outlet washington dc Mark canada goose outlet england Walport agrees that this has not been shown for temperature changes he conceded this point in answer to my question after his Glasgow lecture. I am reasonably sure that he would concede that we haven’t demonstrated that any other features of the climate have changed in a statistically significant way either. canada goose clearance

He does argue that the fact that several features of canada goose factory outlet the climate have changed in a direction that suggests warming provides strong support for the idea of manmade climate change, but this seems wrong to me. For example, melting Arctic sea ice is supposedly a function of temperature, but we already know that the temperature rise is not significant, so demonstrating that Arctic sea ice is moving in a warming direction (with such a short record, showing it is in itself significant is out of the question) does not provide any extra evidence. And of course the fact that the Antarctic ice is growing points in the opposite direction anyway.

Canada Goose Jackets We can canada goose outlet florida follow this same line of reasoning with, say, atmospheric water vapour. Yes this has gone up canada goose outlet store uk in response to higher temperatures (I believe), but no, not in a way that is out of the ordinary (I assume). Indeed it is interesting to consider the question of whether a non statistically significant temperature rise could ever produce a statistically significant change in atmospheric water vapour. Canada canada goose outlet us Goose Jackets

canada goose coats on sale canada goose kensington parka uk When it comes to extreme weather it’s the same thing. The Met Office report on the winter floods concluded that it was not possible to link them to mankind (Julia Slingo’s attempts to misrepresent the report’s contents notwithstanding). The storms, as far as we can see, were not very different to 1929/30. canada goose coats on sale

canada goose black friday sale So how is Truss coming away with an idea that there is “very strong” evidence that floods are being affected by climate change? What is she being told by Walport and Boyd? canada goose black friday sale

canada goose We understand that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, and might be expected to affect the climate, but this is not the same thing as saying that there is evidence that the climate has been affected by it. Wouldn canada goose factory outlet toronto location the Green Blob have a field day if the 1703 storm happened today? canada goose

” So how is Truss canada goose outlet uk sale coming away goose outlet canada with an idea that there is “very strong” evidence that floods are being affected by climate change? What is she being told by Walport and Boyd?

canada goose clearance sale Don know about Walport and Boyd but the Jewel in the Crown has been developing a nice little “climate extremes dataset” with which to broadcast alarm. The canada goose outlet toronto factory fact canada goose outlet mall that it is based on only 100 years of data and the planet and its “climate extremes” have been happening for a trice longer I doubt will figure? canada goose clearance canada goose outlet in chicago sale

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canada goose coats Any politician who is asked to become a Minister should give the same answer to the PM. It is no use relying on others to advise one, they can so easily wool over ones eyes if one knows nothing. Either that canada goose outlet michigan or being open when being intervied by saying, “I don know” canada goose coats

buy canada goose jacket cheap Mike Jackson, it a point you have made before, but I fully agree with you. I was a very minor civil servant some years ago canada goose outlet and saw how the system worked. Ministers have to rely on their advisers. The Yes Minister and Yes Prime Minister diaries are a very accurate guide to how it all works. In probably the first one, the chap who does know something about a subject is eased out by Sir Humphrey because he been in the same position for quite some time (by civil service standards) and his thinking is in a bit of a rut. Whether it should be like that is another matter, of course. buy canada goose jacket cheap

canadian goose jacket Mike J “She is in exactly the same position as 99% of politicians in the world” canadian goose jacket

Maybe, but in the UK that means she put herself forward for election to serve the best interests of the nation as a whole:”and she has little choice but to take the advice she is given as correct.”

Nope, she can actively test, double check, and seek pro and con views and opinion. Rather as she should when making statements or decisions on her own behalf.